Junior B. 649f617019 Phase D: supervised cross-disease (0.925 AUC degree-bias mirage)
Train GradientBoosting on 300 drugs x 839 GEO disease signatures with
Repurposing-Hub indications as labels (432 positives), disease-grouped CV.

Finding: 0.925 CV AUC looks like a win but is a MIRAGE. Feature
importances are all drug-level (drug_std 0.33, drug_mean 0.30,
broadness 0.17); drug-disease connectivity importance = 0.01. The model
learned a drug-POPULARITY prior, not disease-specific matching. On
held-out sickle it ranks hydroxyurea 231/300 (worse than baseline) and
tops out with promiscuous drugs (dexamethasone, methotrexate). Classic
degree-bias trap. Connectivity also has ~chance AUC (0.51) for predicting
approved indications.

Both obvious approaches now fail instructively: unsupervised = specificity
ceiling; naive supervised = degree bias. Real progress needs degree-
debiased training + much larger clean labels (a research effort).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-06-23 23:31:32 +02:00

Reverso MVP — Sickle Cell Repurposing Pipeline

A minimum viable drug repurposing pipeline for sickle cell disease: build a disease signature from public transcriptomic data, build drug profiles for ~300 small molecules, and rank them by CMap-style connectivity scoring. Validated by a recovery test — do the two known sickle cell drugs (hydroxyurea, L-glutamine) rank near the top?

See PLAN.md for the full specification, locked decisions, and week-by-week build plan.

Quickstart

# Requires Python >=3.11,<3.13 (see note below)
pip install -e .            # or: pip install -e ".[dev]" for test/lint tooling
pytest                      # run unit tests

Python version note: use Python 3.113.13 (python3.13 -m venv .venv). Python 3.14 is not yet supported by all pipeline dependencies (pydeseq2, cmapPy).

Project layout

data/         raw (downloaded, never edited) / processed / results — gitignored
notebooks/    01..05, run end-to-end in order
src/          identifiers, disease, drugs, scoring, provenance
tests/        scoring unit tests
docs/         recovery_test_report.md, data_sources.md, known_limitations.md

The deliverable

When complete, the artifact to share is three files:

  1. docs/recovery_test_report.md — the 2-page write-up
  2. data/results/ranked_candidates_v1.csv — the ranked drug list
  3. The signature + drug profile files with provenance

Pipeline

Notebook Stage Output
01_setup_identifiers.ipynb Pin disease/gene IDs data/processed/identifiers.json
02_disease_signature.ipynb GEO + differential expression sickle_cell_signature_v1.json
03_drug_profiles.ipynb ChEMBL + LINCS drug_profiles_v1.parquet
04_connectivity_scoring.ipynb CMap scoring ranked_candidates_v1.csv
05_recovery_test.ipynb Validation docs/recovery_test_report.md

Every persisted artifact carries a confidence tier (A/B/C) and provenance. See PLAN.md §3.

Description
Drug Repurposing Tool
Readme 186 KiB
Languages
Python 93.8%
Jupyter Notebook 6.2%